APRA's decision comes in response to a noticeable increase in high DTI lending, particularly among investors. As of June 2025, investor lending constituted 35% of new loans, up from 30% five years prior. These loans often carry higher DTI ratios, raising concerns about potential financial instability.
High DTI lending tends to rise during periods of falling interest rates, as borrowing capacity grows. This trend was evident during the pandemic when such lending surpassed 20% of new loans. Additionally, recent surges in house prices could exacerbate household indebtedness, leaving borrowers vulnerable to economic shocks like a sharp rise in unemployment or interest rates.
Moody's analysts suggest that APRA's move is more likely to affect highly leveraged investors than owner-occupiers. They view this policy as a pre-emptive measure to limit potential systemic risks associated with high DTI lending, particularly in investor loans, amid easing interest rates and rising credit demand.
For borrowers, this cap means that obtaining high DTI loans will become more challenging. Prospective homebuyers and investors may need to reassess their borrowing strategies and consider alternative financing options. Lenders, on the other hand, will need to adjust their lending practices to comply with the new cap, potentially leading to stricter loan approval processes.
In summary, APRA's introduction of a 20% cap on high DTI home loans is a proactive step to safeguard Australia's financial system. While it may pose challenges for certain borrowers and lenders, the overarching goal is to maintain financial stability and prevent the buildup of risky lending practices.
